Who decides? Forecasts and responsibilities in the 1997 Red River Flood / Roger A. Pielke.

Material type: Text

TextPublication details: Boulder, Colo. : National Center for Atmospheric Research, [1999}Description: 84-101 ppDDC classification:

363.3493 21

Subject: This paper focuses on the role of river stage predictions in decision-making processes leading up to the inundation of Grand Forks and East Grand Forks. Interviews on which this research is based were conducted by the author as part of the National Weather Service (NWS) Survey Assessment Team which evaluated the agency's performance leading up to and during the flood (NWS, 1998). The paper proceeds in five parts. Pt. 1 reviews current understanding of the flood problem faced by the United States; Pt. II. describes spring 1997 flooding in the Red River of the North. Part III assesses the role that river stage information played in flood-related decision making during the event; Part IV introduces relevant experience that might allow for a broader understanding of the 1997 flooding. The paper concludes with the lessons of the Grand Forks experience for future use of river stage predictions.

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This paper focuses on the role of river stage predictions in decision-making processes leading up to the inundation of Grand Forks and East Grand Forks. Interviews on which this research is based were conducted by the author as part of the National Weather Service (NWS) Survey Assessment Team which evaluated the agency's performance leading up to and during the flood (NWS, 1998). The paper proceeds in five parts. Pt. 1 reviews current understanding of the flood problem faced by the United States; Pt. II. describes spring 1997 flooding in the Red River of the North. Part III assesses the role that river stage information played in flood-related decision making during the event; Part IV introduces relevant experience that might allow for a broader understanding of the 1997 flooding. The paper concludes with the lessons of the Grand Forks experience for future use of river stage predictions.

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