The probability of sea level rise / James G. Titus, Vijay K. Narayanan.

Includes bibliographical references.

Many climatologists believe that increasing atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide and other gases are warming the earth by the mechanism commonly referred to as the greenhouse effect. In fact, the earth's average surface temperature has risen approximately 1 deg. F in the last century, and the nine warmest years have all occurred since 1980. These phenomena are gererally believed to contribute to sea-level rise. This report develops probability-based projections of future sea level at particular locations. The authors determine that global warming is most likely to raise sea level by 15 cm by the year 2050, that there is a 1% chance that sea level will rise 1 m in the next 100 years, that stabilizing global emissions will likely reduce the rate of sea level rise, and that along most coasts, factors other than human-caused climate changes will cause the sea to rise more than the increase due to climate change alone