Projecting future sea level rise : methodology, estimates to the year 2100, and research needs.

Material type: Text

TextPublication details: Washington, D.C. : Strategic Studies Staff, Office of Policy Analysis, Office of Policy and Resource Management, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1983Edition: 2nd ed., revDescription: vii, 121 p. : ill., mapReport number: EPA-230-09-007DDC classification:

F 551.458 PRO

Subject: Concentrations of atmospheric CO2 and other greenhouse gases will continue to increase in the coming decades. This report concludes that higher levels of these gases will almost certainly produce a large global warming. Although current knowledge is inadequate to make precise prediction of future sea level rise, it is sufficient to predict the likely range. Many factors were considered in generating the estimates of sea level rise contained in this report: population and productivity growth, atmospheric and climatic change, and oceanic and glacial response. When linked together the various assumptions allowed the estimation of high and low paths of future sea level rise. Based on this work, the following findings can be stated in three aspects 1. Global sea level will almost certainly rise in coming decades 2. Estimates of future sea level rise can be used to reduce its adverse impacts and 3. The range of future sea level rise estimates could be narrowed by accelerating research.

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Item type	Current library	Collection	Call number	Status	Date due	Barcode
Books	Australian Emergency Management Library	BOOK	F551.458 PRO (Browse shelf(Opens below))	Available		005272357

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Previous	F551.3609943 REP Storm tide statistics: Mackay Region.	F551.3609943 REP Storm tide statistics: Townsville Region.	F551.458 COC Cocos (Keeling) Islands : vulnerability to sea-level rise.	F551.458 PRO Projecting future sea level rise : methodology, estimates to the year 2100, and research needs.	F551.458 SEA Sea level rise : the implications of sea level rise for island and low-lying countries.	F551.458099436 IMP Impact of sea-level rise and storm surges on coastal resorts : a report for CSIRO Tourism Research : final report.	F551.458099436 IMP Impact of sea level rise and storm surges on coastal resorts.	Next

"October 24, 1983."

Bibliography: p. 115-121

Concentrations of atmospheric CO2 and other greenhouse gases will continue to increase in the coming decades. This report concludes that higher levels of these gases will almost certainly produce a large global warming. Although current knowledge is inadequate to make precise prediction of future sea level rise, it is sufficient to predict the likely range. Many factors were considered in generating the estimates of sea level rise contained in this report: population and productivity growth, atmospheric and climatic change, and oceanic and glacial response. When linked together the various assumptions allowed the estimation of high and low paths of future sea level rise. Based on this work, the following findings can be stated in three aspects 1. Global sea level will almost certainly rise in coming decades 2. Estimates of future sea level rise can be used to reduce its adverse impacts and 3. The range of future sea level rise estimates could be narrowed by accelerating research.

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