Diffusion of emergency warning: comparing empirical and simulation results.
Material type: TextLanguage: ENG Publication details: OCT 1988Description: 24p., 36 refs, 1 appendix, 5 figsReport number: DE-AC05-840R21400; CONF-8810249-1; DE89-004171Subject: The purpose of this paper is to present the results of an analysis on the timing of warning system information dissemination including the alert of the public and delivery of a warning message. A general model of the diffusion of emergency warning is specified as a logistic function. Alternative warning systems are characterized in terms of the parameters of the model, which generally constrain the diffusion process to account for judged maximum penetration of each system for various locations and likelihood of being in those places by time of day. The results indicate that the combination of either telephone ring-down warning systems or tone-alert radio systems combined with sirens provide the most effective warning system under conditions of very rapid onset, or close proximity or bothItem type | Current library | Collection | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
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Books | Australian Emergency Management Library | BOOK | 302.2 ROG (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Available | 005324265 | ||
Books | Australian Emergency Management Library | BOOK | 302.2 ROG (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Available | 005902748 |
Meeting Date 31 October 1988
The purpose of this paper is to present the results of an analysis on the timing of warning system information dissemination including the alert of the public and delivery of a warning message. A general model of the diffusion of emergency warning is specified as a logistic function. Alternative warning systems are characterized in terms of the parameters of the model, which generally constrain the diffusion process to account for judged maximum penetration of each system for various locations and likelihood of being in those places by time of day. The results indicate that the combination of either telephone ring-down warning systems or tone-alert radio systems combined with sirens provide the most effective warning system under conditions of very rapid onset, or close proximity or both
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