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Atmospheric factors in disasters: an appraisal of their role in Australia.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextLanguage: ENG Publication details: 1976Description: 8p., 13 refsReport number: AcademicSubject: Natural disasters have probably always occurred, and will still do so at approximately the same levels of intensity. However the increasing population, and townships, make the damages bill much higher than in the days before settlement. The frequency of tropical cyclones has been increasing since the 1940s, and so the benefits become marginal, and the damages continue to increase with the frequency. Atmospheric factors can be adverse, or beneficial. The paper gives examples and notes that atmospheric events can be forecast, and provided for, at a price. The problem is seen to be one of far sighted cost benefit analysis - the secret is in seeing far enough and analyzing realistically enough. However, mankind has always gambled with the forces of nature, and there is little sense of change in this respect
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Symposium Dates 26-29 May 1976

Natural disasters have probably always occurred, and will still do so at approximately the same levels of intensity. However the increasing population, and townships, make the damages bill much higher than in the days before settlement. The frequency of tropical cyclones has been increasing since the 1940s, and so the benefits become marginal, and the damages continue to increase with the frequency. Atmospheric factors can be adverse, or beneficial. The paper gives examples and notes that atmospheric events can be forecast, and provided for, at a price. The problem is seen to be one of far sighted cost benefit analysis - the secret is in seeing far enough and analyzing realistically enough. However, mankind has always gambled with the forces of nature, and there is little sense of change in this respect

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