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The social implications of earthquake predictions and warnings on and for organisations.

By: Material type: TextTextLanguage: ENG Publication details: MAR 1978Description: 4p., no refsReport number: AcademicSubject: The underlying assumption is that society will be able to employ earthquake prediction as it develops in the future to save lives and possibly reduce property damage. In other words, earthquake prediction will allow society to take actions that will provide some measure of protection from this natural disaster. It is the author's contention that earthquake predictions will be of little value to society unless that society is prepared to act in a positive way on the basis of the information produced about predictions and warnings. In earthquake prediction, we are dealing with a technology that, by its very nature, demands a unique relationship to society if it is to develop. Earthquake prediction will provide society with information. If it is to benefit from that information, society must learn how to use it
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Reprinted from the Bulletin of New Zealand National Society for Earthquake Engineering; March 1978; Vol 11; No 1; pp15-18

This paper has been slightly amended since being presented to the Seminar on the Social and Economic Effects of Earthquake Prediction, 12 October, 1977

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The underlying assumption is that society will be able to employ earthquake prediction as it develops in the future to save lives and possibly reduce property damage. In other words, earthquake prediction will allow society to take actions that will provide some measure of protection from this natural disaster. It is the author's contention that earthquake predictions will be of little value to society unless that society is prepared to act in a positive way on the basis of the information produced about predictions and warnings. In earthquake prediction, we are dealing with a technology that, by its very nature, demands a unique relationship to society if it is to develop. Earthquake prediction will provide society with information. If it is to benefit from that information, society must learn how to use it

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