The National Weather Service hurricane probability program.
Material type:
TextLanguage: ENG Publication details: JAN 1985Description: 13p., 19 refs, 14 figs, 3 tablesReport number: Institutional/Corporate BodySubject: Recent census studies have shown a general shift of the U.S. population to the hurricane prone areas in coastal regions such as Florida. The population has nearly doubled in 20 years. Fortunately, there has been a decline in hurricane activity during this same period. The population concentrations cause concern about the adequacy of the National Weather Service (NWS) hurricane warning programs for providing sufficient warnings and guidance for the protection of lives and property in these highly populated regions. The NWS system has worked well over the past several years to minimize loss of life from hurricanes. However, recent studies have shown that lead times much longer than the present 12 hours are required in several communities along the coast from Texas to Maine. Evacuation of some vulnerable areas would need lead times of 20 to 30 hours or more. Clearly the NWS needs to respond to the need for more sophisticated weather probability programs
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Australian Emergency Management Library | BOOK | 551.6452 SHE (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Available | 005286283 |
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Reprinted from Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; 1985; Vol 66; No 1; pp4-13
Reprint
Recent census studies have shown a general shift of the U.S. population to the hurricane prone areas in coastal regions such as Florida. The population has nearly doubled in 20 years. Fortunately, there has been a decline in hurricane activity during this same period. The population concentrations cause concern about the adequacy of the National Weather Service (NWS) hurricane warning programs for providing sufficient warnings and guidance for the protection of lives and property in these highly populated regions. The NWS system has worked well over the past several years to minimize loss of life from hurricanes. However, recent studies have shown that lead times much longer than the present 12 hours are required in several communities along the coast from Texas to Maine. Evacuation of some vulnerable areas would need lead times of 20 to 30 hours or more. Clearly the NWS needs to respond to the need for more sophisticated weather probability programs
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