A simple model of population vulnerability during crisis relocation.
Material type: TextLanguage: ENG Publication details: 01/01/83Description: 86p; 12 refsReport number: CONTRACT-FEMA-EMW-C-0749; IDA-P-1703Item type | Current library | Collection | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode | |
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Books | Australian Emergency Management Library | BOOK | 363.348 SCH (Browse shelf(Opens below)) | Available | 005261673 |
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Document includes summary
Final Report
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The objective of the study is to estimate the cost in survivors of short warning leading to attack during full nationwide crises relocation. A simulation model of traffic flow over the national interstate road network was developed to predict population vulnerability during a crisis relocation. The model predicts large initial rates of reduction in nationwide vulnerability (half the at-risk population is evacuated in 21 hours) due to the large number of risk centers initially evacuating. Problems arising in risk areas, reception areas, and over the road network to achieve the traffic plan assumptions of the model are discussed. No unreasonable problems are uncovered in achieving the major prediction of the model .550.
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